Expert Analysis: Chepelev vs. Fermin Tennis Match
The upcoming match between Andrey Chepelev and Tenti Fermin on September 5, 2025, promises to be a thrilling encounter. Chepelev, known for his solid baseline play and resilience, faces a formidable opponent in Fermin, who brings a mix of aggressive net play and tactical intelligence to the court. This analysis breaks down the betting predictions for various aspects of the match.
Chepelev, Andrey
Fermin, Tenti
(FT)
Predictions:
| Market | Prediction | Odd | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1st Set Games | 62.50% | (2-0) | |
| Under 1st Set Games | 62.40% | (2-0) | |
| Tie Break in 1st Set (No) | 91.50% | (2-0) | |
| Tie Break in Match (No) | 82.50% | (2-0) | |
| Under 2.5 Sets | 65.60% | (2-0) | |
| Total Games 3-Way (Under 22) | 63.60% | (2-0) | |
| Total Games 2-Way (Over 22.5) | 54.50% | (2-0) |
Set Predictions
- Over 1st Set Games: 62.50%
- Under 1st Set Games: 62.40%
- Tie Break in 1st Set (No): 91.50%
Chepelev’s ability to extend rallies might lead to a higher game count in the first set. His consistency from the back of the court could force errors from Fermin, pushing the game total over 9.5.
Conversely, Fermin’s aggressive playstyle may result in shorter games if he can capitalize on Chepelev’s occasional unforced errors, keeping the first set under 9.5 games.
Given both players’ mental fortitude and ability to break serve, it is likely that one will hold their serve to avoid a tiebreak in the first set.
Match Predictions
- Tie Break in Match (No): 82.50%
- Under 2.5 Sets: 65.60%
The probability of avoiding a tiebreak in the match suggests that one player will dominate a set or two decisively, minimizing the need for additional pressure points.
Fermin’s experience and tactical acumen might enable him to secure a straight-sets victory, especially if he can exploit Chepelev’s weaknesses early on.
Total Games Predictions
- Total Games 3-Way (Under 22): 63.60%
- Total Games 2-Way (Over 22.5): 54.50%
If Chepelev can keep the rallies long and test Fermin’s endurance, the total games could remain under 22, reflecting a tightly contested match.
Should Fermin impose his aggressive style and capitalize on break opportunities, the match may exceed 22.5 games due to longer sets.